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Chicago Bulls at Indiana Pacers: preview and Win Meter

Chicago Bulls → Indiana Pacers →

Our ratings lean toward the Pacers at home against the Bulls on Tuesday, January 26, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Bulls are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pacers 63%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 113, Indiana Pacers 117. The rating gap is 6 points in favor of the Bulls, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.

Recent form

The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.

The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Noa Essengue (CHI), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Patrick Williams (CHI), expected back Oct 26, 2026, T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Kobe Brown (IND) and Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 7-1, with the Pacers outscoring the Bulls by an average of 7.6 points per game. The last meeting was IND 145, CHI 126.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Bulls1-4, -17 avg margin
Pacers2-3, -1.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pacers.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 1: IND 145, CHI 126
  • Jan 28: CHI 110, IND 113
  • Dec 5: IND 120, CHI 105
  • Nov 29: CHI 101, IND 103
  • Mar 10: IND 103, CHI 121

Injury report

Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
  • Noa Essengue Out · back Oct 26
  • Patrick Williams Out · back Oct 26
Indiana Pacers
  • T.J. McConnell Out · back Oct 26
  • Johnny Furphy Out · back Jan 2
  • Ben Sheppard Out · back Dec 1
  • Kobe Brown Probable
  • Aaron Nesmith Probable · back Oct 25

Win Meter

37%
63%
BullsPacers

Projected score: Bulls 113, Pacers 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

37%
63%
BullsPacers

Matchup at a glance

CHIIND
Record1-21-1
Last 5LLLWLWLLWL
Points per game114.7114
Allowed per game128120.5
Days of rest––
Rating13711365

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