The edge goes to the Pistons at home against the Hawks on Tuesday, January 26, at about 71%. That is a real edge, but the Hawks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pistons 71%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 112, Detroit Pistons 118. The rating gap is 56 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pistons on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.
The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Ugonna Onyenso (DET).
Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Elijah Harkless (DET), and Isaac Jones (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 6-2, with the Pistons outscoring the Hawks by an average of 6.1 points per game. The last meeting was ATL 130, DET 129.