Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets on Monday, January 25 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Nuggets about a 87% chance, and the Kings would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 87%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 109, Denver Nuggets 121. The rating gap is 235 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 7-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Kings by an average of 8.8 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 136, SAC 105.