Game preview · Mon 6:00 PM MT

Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

Cleveland Cavaliers → New Orleans Pelicans →

Our ratings lean toward the Cavaliers on the road against the Pelicans on Monday, January 25, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Pelicans are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 59%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 116, New Orleans Pelicans 114. The rating gap is 166 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.

Recent form

The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 4-0, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 16.2 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 111, NOP 106.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Cavaliers1-4, -14 avg margin
Pelicans0-5, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 1 player is listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 21: CLE 111, NOP 106
  • Dec 23: NOP 118, CLE 141
  • Nov 20: NOP 100, CLE 128
  • Nov 6: CLE 131, NOP 122

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers

No reported injuries.

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Out · back Nov 2

Win Meter

59%
41%
CavaliersPelicans

Projected score: Cavaliers 116, Pelicans 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

59%
41%
CavaliersPelicans

Matchup at a glance

CLENOP
Record1-10-3
Last 5LLLLWLLLLL
Points per game115.5124.7
Allowed per game117.5128
Days of rest––
Rating15741408

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