The edge goes to the Timberwolves on the road against the Grizzlies on Monday, January 25, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 70%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 118, Memphis Grizzlies 112. The rating gap is 246 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027 and Zach Edey (MEM), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 4-3, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 3 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 110, MIN 117.