The edge goes to the Heat on the road against the Nets on Monday, January 25, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Nets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Heat 60%, with a projected score of Miami Heat 116, Brooklyn Nets 114. The rating gap is 173 points in favor of the Heat, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Nets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Nets would win.
Recent form
The Heat are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4. The Nets are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.4.
The Heat's best recent win was 143-117 at home against ATL.
The Heat were beaten 131-106 at home by MIN not long ago.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 25, 2026 and Mikel Brown Jr. (BKN), expected back Oct 27, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Heat lead 5-1, with the Heat outscoring the Nets by an average of 10.2 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 110, MIA 126.