The edge goes to the Celtics at home against the Raptors on Monday, January 25, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Raptors are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 70%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 112, Boston Celtics 118. The rating gap is 52 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Malachi Smith (TOR), and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 7-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Raptors by an average of 12.5 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 101, BOS 115.