The Win Meter favors the Thunder on the road against the Warriors on Sunday, January 24, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Warriors are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Thunder 74%, with a projected score of Oklahoma City Thunder 118, Golden State Warriors 112. The rating gap is 278 points in favor of the Thunder, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Thunder are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +0.4. The Warriors are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.
The Thunder were beaten 118-91 on the road by SAS not long ago.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Thomas Sorber (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Nikola Topic (OKC), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Otega Oweh (OKC), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Thunder lead 5-2, with the Thunder outscoring the Warriors by an average of 9.4 points per game. The last meeting was GSW 97, OKC 104.