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Houston Rockets at Orlando Magic: preview and Win Meter

Houston Rockets → Orlando Magic →

Recent form is the story in Houston Rockets at Orlando Magic on Sunday, January 24. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, while the Magic have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Magic 53%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 115, Orlando Magic 115. The rating gap is 79 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 47 times in 100 games like this, the Rockets would win.

The recent-form gap

The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3. The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4.

The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Fred VanVleet (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Marcus Smart (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 4-0, with the Rockets outscoring the Magic by an average of 7.5 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 113, ORL 108.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Rockets4-1, +3 avg margin
Magic0-5, -14.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Rockets arrive in better form (W-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 7 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Magic.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 26: HOU 113, ORL 108
  • Nov 16: ORL 113, HOU 117
  • Mar 19: HOU 116, ORL 108
  • Mar 10: ORL 84, HOU 97

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Fred VanVleet Out · back Oct 26
  • Steven Adams Out · back Oct 26
  • Marcus Smart Out · back Oct 26
Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 28
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Out · back Nov 22

Win Meter

47%
53%
RocketsMagic

Projected score: Rockets 115, Magic 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

47%
53%
RocketsMagic

Matchup at a glance

HOUORL
Record3-00-2
Last 5WLWWWLLLLL
Points per game121109
Allowed per game111.3123.5
Days of rest––
Rating15961517

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