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Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons: preview and Win Meter

Minnesota Timberwolves → Detroit Pistons →

The Win Meter favors the Pistons at home against the Timberwolves on Sunday, January 24, at about 69%. That is a real edge, but the Timberwolves are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pistons 69%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 112, Detroit Pistons 117. The rating gap is 36 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pistons on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Timberwolves would win.

Recent form

The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2.

The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.

The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027, Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Ugonna Onyenso (DET).

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Elijah Harkless (DET), and Isaac Jones (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 3-1, with the Pistons outscoring the Timberwolves by an average of 5.5 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 108, DET 113.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Timberwolves3-2, -1.4 avg margin
Pistons3-2, +2.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pistons.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 2: MIN 108, DET 113
  • Mar 28: DET 109, MIN 87
  • Mar 30: DET 104, MIN 123
  • Jan 4: MIN 105, DET 119

Injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzo Out · back Apr 2
Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jalen Duren Out · back Oct 27
  • Elijah Harkless Questionable
  • Isaac Jones Questionable
  • Ugonna Onyenso Out

Win Meter

31%
69%
TimberwolvesPistons

Projected score: Timberwolves 112, Pistons 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

31%
69%
TimberwolvesPistons

Matchup at a glance

MINDET
Record2-02-0
Last 5WLLWWLWLWW
Points per game123124.5
Allowed per game99.5112
Days of rest––
Rating16001636

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