Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs on Sunday, January 24 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Spurs about a 80% chance, and the Trail Blazers would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 80%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 111, San Antonio Spurs 119. The rating gap is 137 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Spurs on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.
Injuries to watch
Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, and Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 27, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR) and Branden Carlson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Spurs lead 9-3, with the Spurs outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 8.8 points per game. The last meeting was POR 95, SAS 114.