The edge goes to the Cavaliers on the road against the Mavericks on Saturday, January 23, at about 61%. That is a real edge, but the Mavericks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 61%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 115, Dallas Mavericks 113. The rating gap is 178 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Mavericks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 39 times in 100 games like this, the Mavericks would win.
Recent form
The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Mavericks are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Mavericks' best recent win was 149-128 at home against CHI.
The Mavericks were beaten 139-120 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Santi Aldama (DAL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Dereck Lively II (DAL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Tarik Biberovic (DAL), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Caleb Martin (DAL), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Cooper Flagg (DAL), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 3-1, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Mavericks by an average of 19.5 points per game. The last meeting was DAL 130, CLE 120.