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Charlotte Hornets at Boston Celtics: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → Boston Celtics →

Our ratings lean toward the Celtics at home against the Hornets on Saturday, January 23, at about 71%. That is a real edge, but the Hornets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Celtics 71%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 111, Boston Celtics 117. The rating gap is 53 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026, and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 6-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Hornets by an average of 9.3 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 102, BOS 113.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -13 avg margin
Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Hornets arrive in better form (W-L-W-L-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Celtics.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 7: CHA 102, BOS 113
  • Mar 29: BOS 114, CHA 99
  • Mar 4: CHA 118, BOS 89
  • Apr 13: CHA 86, BOS 93
  • Apr 11: CHA 94, BOS 130

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 26
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 26
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30
Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8

Win Meter

29%
71%
HornetsCeltics

Projected score: Hornets 111, Celtics 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

29%
71%
HornetsCeltics

Matchup at a glance

CHABOS
Record2-11-1
Last 5WLWLWLLLLW
Points per game102110
Allowed per game113.7112
Days of rest––
Rating15561609

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