The Win Meter favors the Warriors at home against the Bucks on Friday, January 22, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Warriors 73%, with a projected score of Milwaukee Bucks 111, Golden State Warriors 117. The rating gap is 76 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Bucks are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Warriors are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.
The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.
The Bucks were beaten 126-106 on the road by PHI not long ago.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Brandin Podziemski (GSW), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Charles Bassey (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the Bucks by an average of 5.5 points per game. The last meeting was MIL 113, GSW 120.