Our ratings lean toward the Spurs at home against the Timberwolves on Friday, January 22, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Timberwolves are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 74%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 111, San Antonio Spurs 117. The rating gap is 81 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Spurs on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027, Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, and Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 27, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 7-6, with the Spurs outscoring the Timberwolves by an average of 4.8 points per game. The last meeting was SAS 139, MIN 109.