Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns on Friday, January 22 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Suns about a 83% chance, and the Jazz would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Suns 83%, with a projected score of Utah Jazz 109, Phoenix Suns 119. The rating gap is 181 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Suns on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Suns are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -22.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Harrison Ingram (UTA), Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, and Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Luke Kennard (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 6-1, with the Suns outscoring the Jazz by an average of 10.7 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 109, PHX 134.