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Houston Rockets at Charlotte Hornets: preview and Win Meter

Houston Rockets → Charlotte Hornets →

The edge goes to the Hornets at home against the Rockets on Friday, January 22, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Rockets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 60%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 113, Charlotte Hornets 115. The rating gap is 28 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hornets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Rockets would win.

Recent form

The Rockets are 2-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.4. The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.

The Rockets' best recent win was 115-96 at home against LAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Fred VanVleet (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Marcus Smart (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Reed Sheppard (HOU). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Rockets outscoring the Hornets by an average of 0.5 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 105, CHA 101.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Rockets4-1, +5.4 avg margin
Hornets3-2, -13 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 7 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hornets.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 19: HOU 105, CHA 101
  • Feb 5: CHA 109, HOU 99
  • Dec 23: HOU 114, CHA 101
  • Oct 23: CHA 110, HOU 105

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Reed Sheppard Available
  • Fred VanVleet Out · back Oct 26
  • Steven Adams Out · back Oct 26
  • Marcus Smart Out · back Oct 26
Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 26
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 26
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30

Win Meter

40%
60%
RocketsHornets

Projected score: Rockets 113, Hornets 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

40%
60%
RocketsHornets

Matchup at a glance

HOUCHA
Record2-02-1
Last 5WWLWWWLWLW
Points per game121102
Allowed per game110113.7
Days of rest––
Rating15841556

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