Game preview · Thu 5:30 PM MT

Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics: preview and Win Meter

Philadelphia 76ers → Boston Celtics →

The edge goes to the Celtics at home against the 76ers on Thursday, January 21, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the 76ers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Celtics 70%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 111, Boston Celtics 116. The rating gap is 49 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The 76ers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.8. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026, LeBron James (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026, and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 8-7, with the Celtics outscoring the 76ers by an average of 5.1 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 109, BOS 100.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

76ers3-2, -3.8 avg margin
Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The 76ers arrive in better form (L-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Celtics.

Recent meetings

  • May 2: PHI 109, BOS 100 (playoffs)
  • Apr 30: BOS 93, PHI 106 (playoffs)
  • Apr 28: PHI 113, BOS 97 (playoffs)
  • Apr 26: BOS 128, PHI 96 (playoffs)
  • Apr 24: BOS 108, PHI 100 (playoffs)

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • LeBron James Out · back Oct 25
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 24
Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8

Win Meter

30%
70%
76ersCeltics

Projected score: 76ers 111, Celtics 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

30%
70%
76ersCeltics

Matchup at a glance

PHIBOS
Record3-01-1
Last 5LLWWWLLLLW
Points per game115.7110
Allowed per game107.3112
Days of rest––
Rating15601609

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