Memphis Grizzlies at Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, January 20 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Suns about a 81% chance, and the Grizzlies would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Suns 81%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 109, Phoenix Suns 118. The rating gap is 152 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Suns on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2. The Suns are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -22.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Zach Edey (MEM), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, and Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Cedric Coward (MEM) and Luke Kennard (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 5-2, with the Suns outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 3.9 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 131, MEM 105.