The edge goes to the Timberwolves at home against the Rockets on Wednesday, January 20, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Rockets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 66%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 111, Minnesota Timberwolves 115. The rating gap is 16 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Timberwolves on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Rockets would win.
Recent form
The Rockets are 2-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.4. The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.
The Rockets' best recent win was 115-96 at home against LAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Fred VanVleet (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Marcus Smart (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Reed Sheppard (HOU). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 4-3, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Rockets by an average of 0.4 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 136, HOU 132.