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Portland Trail Blazers at Atlanta Hawks: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → Atlanta Hawks →

The Win Meter favors the Hawks at home against the Trail Blazers on Wednesday, January 20, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Trail Blazers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hawks 70%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 110, Atlanta Hawks 116. The rating gap is 48 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Hawks are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.

The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, RayJ Dennis (ATL), and Keshon Gilbert (ATL).

Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR) and Branden Carlson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Trail Blazers lead 3-1, with the Hawks outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 0 points per game. The last meeting was POR 101, ATL 135.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin
Hawks2-3, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hawks.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 1: POR 101, ATL 135
  • Jan 15: ATL 101, POR 117
  • Apr 1: POR 127, ATL 113
  • Nov 17: ATL 110, POR 114

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Day to day · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Day to day · back Oct 27
Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20
  • RayJ Dennis Out
  • Keshon Gilbert Out
  • Jalen Wilson Out

Win Meter

30%
70%
Trail BlazersHawks

Projected score: Trail Blazers 110, Hawks 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

30%
70%
Trail BlazersHawks

Matchup at a glance

PORATL
Record2-02-0
Last 5LLLWWLLLWW
Points per game126130
Allowed per game101.5103
Days of rest––
Rating15441592

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