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Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings: preview and Win Meter

Los Angeles Lakers → Sacramento Kings →

Our ratings lean toward the Lakers on the road against the Kings on Tuesday, January 19, at about 67%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Lakers 67%, with a projected score of Los Angeles Lakers 115, Sacramento Kings 111. The rating gap is 223 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 33 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.

Recent form

The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Walker Kessler (LAL) and Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Lakers lead 7-1, with the Lakers outscoring the Kings by an average of 9.2 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 104, LAL 128.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin
Kings1-4, -8.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Kings.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 1: SAC 104, LAL 128
  • Jan 12: LAL 112, SAC 124
  • Dec 28: SAC 101, LAL 125
  • Oct 26: LAL 127, SAC 120
  • Dec 28: SAC 122, LAL 132

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Out · back Oct 27
  • Adou Thiero Out · back Oct 27
  • Walker Kessler Available
Sacramento Kings
  • Dylan Cardwell Out · back Nov 2
  • Maxime Raynaud Out · back Nov 2
  • Ben Simmons Out · back Oct 1
  • Keegan Murray Questionable · back Oct 25

Win Meter

67%
33%
LakersKings

Projected score: Lakers 115, Kings 111

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

67%
33%
LakersKings

Matchup at a glance

LALSAC
Record2-00-2
Last 5LLLWWLWLLL
Points per game126108
Allowed per game111124.5
Days of rest––
Rating15781355

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