The Win Meter favors the Hornets on the road against the Mavericks on Tuesday, January 19, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Mavericks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hornets 58%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 114, Dallas Mavericks 112. The rating gap is 153 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Mavericks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Mavericks would win.
Recent form
The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13. The Mavericks are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.
The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.
The Mavericks' best recent win was 149-128 at home against CHI.
The Mavericks were beaten 139-120 on the road by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026, and Santi Aldama (DAL), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Christian Anderson (CHA) and Jett Howard (DAL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hornets lead 3-1, with the Hornets outscoring the Mavericks by an average of 6.7 points per game. The last meeting was DAL 90, CHA 117.