Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors on Tuesday, January 19 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Raptors about a 83% chance, and the Bulls would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 83%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 108, Toronto Raptors 118. The rating gap is 175 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Bulls are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Noa Essengue (CHI), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Patrick Williams (CHI), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Malachi Smith (TOR).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Raptors outscoring the Bulls by an average of 6.5 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 92, TOR 135.