Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday, January 19 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the 76ers about a 84% chance, and the Pacers would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the 76ers 84%, with a projected score of Indiana Pacers 108, Philadelphia 76ers 118. The rating gap is 192 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 6 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The 76ers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -7.2.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Kobe Brown (IND), Aaron Nesmith (IND), and Dean Wade (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the 76ers lead 5-3, with the 76ers outscoring the Pacers by an average of 2 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 105, IND 94.