The edge goes to the Rockets on the road against the Grizzlies on Monday, January 18, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Rockets 68%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 115, Memphis Grizzlies 111. The rating gap is 230 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.
Recent form
The Rockets are 2-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.4. The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2.
The Rockets' best recent win was 115-96 at home against LAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Fred VanVleet (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026 and Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Reed Sheppard (HOU), Marcus Smart (HOU), and Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Rockets lead 7-1, with the Rockets outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 11.2 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 101, HOU 132.