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Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks: preview and Win Meter

Philadelphia 76ers → Atlanta Hawks →

Our ratings lean toward the Hawks at home against the 76ers on Monday, January 18, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the 76ers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hawks 68%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 111, Atlanta Hawks 116. The rating gap is 35 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the 76ers would win.

Recent form

The 76ers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -7.2. The Hawks are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.

The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026, LeBron James (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026, and Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Dean Wade (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 7-0, with the Hawks outscoring the 76ers by an average of 9.4 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 116, ATL 125.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

76ers2-3, -7.2 avg margin
Hawks2-3, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 9 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hawks.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 7: PHI 116, ATL 125
  • Feb 19: ATL 117, PHI 107
  • Dec 14: PHI 117, ATL 120
  • Nov 30: ATL 142, PHI 134
  • Apr 11: ATL 124, PHI 110

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • Dean Wade Available
  • LeBron James Out · back Oct 25
Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20
  • RayJ Dennis Out
  • Keshon Gilbert Out
  • Jalen Wilson Out

Win Meter

32%
68%
76ersHawks

Projected score: 76ers 111, Hawks 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

31%
69%
76ersHawks

Matchup at a glance

PHIATL
Record2-02-0
Last 5LLLWWLLLWW
Points per game110130
Allowed per game103103
Days of rest––
Rating15571592

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