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Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers: preview and Win Meter

Detroit Pistons → Cleveland Cavaliers →

Recent form is the story in Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday, January 18. The Pistons have won 3 of their last 5, while the Cavaliers have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 55%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 112, Cleveland Cavaliers 114. The rating gap is 63 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Cavaliers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 45 times in 100 games like this, the Pistons would win.

The recent-form gap

The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Cavaliers are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Ugonna Onyenso (DET), Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), and Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE).

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET), Elijah Harkless (DET), and Isaac Jones (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 9-6, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Pistons by an average of 3.4 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 125, DET 94.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pistons3-2, +2.2 avg margin
Cavaliers0-5, -17 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Pistons arrive in better form (L-W-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Cavaliers.

Recent meetings

  • May 17: CLE 125, DET 94 (playoffs)
  • May 15: DET 115, CLE 94 (playoffs)
  • May 13: CLE 117, DET 113 (playoffs)
  • May 11: DET 103, CLE 112 (playoffs)
  • May 9: DET 109, CLE 116 (playoffs)

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jalen Duren Out · back Oct 27
  • Elijah Harkless Questionable
  • Isaac Jones Questionable
  • Ugonna Onyenso Out
Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out

Win Meter

45%
55%
PistonsCavaliers

Projected score: Pistons 112, Cavaliers 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

45%
55%
PistonsCavaliers

Matchup at a glance

DETCLE
Record2-00-1
Last 5LWLWWLLLLL
Points per game124.5106
Allowed per game112114
Days of rest––
Rating16361573

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