Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards on Sunday, January 17 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Wizards at only 53%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Wizards 53%, with a projected score of Indiana Pacers 113, Washington Wizards 113. The rating gap is 82 points in favor of the Pacers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 47 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.
Recent form
The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The Wizards are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Kobe Brown (IND) and Aaron Nesmith (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 5-3, with the Pacers outscoring the Wizards by an average of 8.6 points per game. The last meeting was IND 118, WAS 131.