Game preview · Sat 7:00 PM MT

Charlotte Hornets at Denver Nuggets: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → Denver Nuggets →

The edge goes to the Nuggets at home against the Hornets on Saturday, January 16, at about 69%. That is a real edge, but the Hornets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 69%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 111, Denver Nuggets 116. The rating gap is 35 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Hornets would win.

Recent form

The Hornets are 1-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2. The Nuggets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The Nuggets were beaten 113-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026, and Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Christian Anderson (CHA) and Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 3-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Hornets by an average of 0.8 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 110, DEN 87.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -11.2 avg margin
Nuggets1-4, -9 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Hornets arrive in better form (W-W-L-W-L against L-L-W-L-L).
  • Health: 7 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Nuggets.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 18: CHA 110, DEN 87
  • Dec 7: DEN 115, CHA 106
  • Feb 20: CHA 115, DEN 129
  • Feb 1: DEN 107, CHA 104

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 26
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 26
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30
  • Christian Anderson Available
Denver Nuggets
  • Spencer Jones Out · back Oct 26
  • Julian Strawther Out · back Nov 29
  • Cameron Johnson Out · back Oct 26
  • Alpha Diallo Questionable · back Oct 24

Win Meter

31%
69%
HornetsNuggets

Projected score: Hornets 111, Nuggets 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

31%
69%
HornetsNuggets

Matchup at a glance

CHADEN
Record1-10-1
Last 5WWLWLLLWLL
Points per game95.584
Allowed per game115.596
Days of rest––
Rating15531588

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