Game preview · Sat 6:00 PM MT

Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies: preview and Win Meter

Cleveland Cavaliers → Memphis Grizzlies →

Our ratings lean toward the Cavaliers on the road against the Grizzlies on Saturday, January 16, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 66%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 115, Memphis Grizzlies 111. The rating gap is 219 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.

Recent form

The Cavaliers are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17. The Grizzlies are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.2.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.

The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), and Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE).

Day to day or questionable: Cedric Coward (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 4-0, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 9.7 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 142, MEM 126.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Cavaliers0-5, -17 avg margin
Grizzlies2-3, -14.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Grizzlies arrive in better form (L-L-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Grizzlies.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 6: CLE 142, MEM 126
  • Nov 15: MEM 100, CLE 108
  • Mar 14: CLE 133, MEM 124
  • Feb 23: MEM 123, CLE 129

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out
Memphis Grizzlies
  • Cedric Coward Day to day · back Oct 25

Win Meter

66%
34%
CavaliersGrizzlies

Projected score: Cavaliers 115, Grizzlies 111

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

66%
34%
CavaliersGrizzlies

Matchup at a glance

CLEMEM
Record0-12-0
Last 5LLLLLLLLWW
Points per game106117
Allowed per game114105.5
Days of rest––
Rating15731354

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