Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics on Saturday, January 16 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Celtics about a 91% chance, and the Nets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 91%, with a projected score of Brooklyn Nets 106, Boston Celtics 120. The rating gap is 300 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 11 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -16.4. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 25, 2026 and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 7-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Nets by an average of 10.8 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 111, BOS 148.