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Minnesota Timberwolves at Philadelphia 76ers: preview and Win Meter

Minnesota Timberwolves → Philadelphia 76ers →

Our ratings lean toward the 76ers at home against the Timberwolves on Saturday, January 16, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Timberwolves are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 58%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 112, Philadelphia 76ers 114. The rating gap is 43 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Timberwolves would win.

Recent form

The Timberwolves are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4. The 76ers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -7.2.

The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.

The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026, and LeBron James (PHI), expected back Oct 25, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Dean Wade (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the 76ers outscoring the Timberwolves by an average of 5 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 103, PHI 115.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Timberwolves3-2, -1.4 avg margin
76ers2-3, -7.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the 76ers.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 3: MIN 103, PHI 115
  • Feb 22: PHI 135, MIN 108
  • Apr 5: MIN 114, PHI 109
  • Mar 4: PHI 112, MIN 126

Injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Donte DiVincenzo Out · back Apr 2
Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • Dean Wade Questionable · back Oct 24
  • LeBron James Out · back Oct 25

Win Meter

42%
58%
Timberwolves76ers

Projected score: Timberwolves 112, 76ers 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

42%
58%
Timberwolves76ers

Matchup at a glance

MINPHI
Record2-02-0
Last 5WLLWWLLLWW
Points per game123110
Allowed per game99.5103
Days of rest––
Rating16001557

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