Phoenix Suns at Indiana Pacers on Friday, January 15 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Suns at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Suns 56%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 114, Indiana Pacers 112. The rating gap is 141 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.
Recent form
The Suns are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -22. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Luke Kennard (PHX) and T.J. McConnell (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Suns outscoring the Pacers by an average of 5.7 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 123, IND 108.