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Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers: preview and Win Meter

Orlando Magic → Los Angeles Lakers →

The Win Meter favors the Lakers at home against the Magic on Thursday, January 14, at about 72%. That is a real edge, but the Magic are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Lakers 72%, with a projected score of Orlando Magic 110, Los Angeles Lakers 116. The rating gap is 61 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Lakers on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Magic are 0-2 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.4. The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, and Paolo Banchero (ORL), expected back Nov 22, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Anthony Black (ORL), Cameron Carr (LAL), Adou Thiero (LAL), and Jake LaRavia (LAL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Magic lead 3-1, with the Magic outscoring the Lakers by an average of 3.2 points per game. The last meeting was LAL 105, ORL 104.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Magic0-5, -14.4 avg margin
Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Lakers arrive in better form (L-L-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Lakers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 21: LAL 105, ORL 104
  • Feb 24: ORL 110, LAL 109
  • Mar 24: LAL 106, ORL 118
  • Nov 21: ORL 119, LAL 118

Injury report

Orlando Magic
  • Anthony Black Questionable · back Oct 25
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 28
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Out · back Nov 22
Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Adou Thiero Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jake LaRavia Day to day · back Oct 25

Win Meter

28%
72%
MagicLakers

Projected score: Magic 110, Lakers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

28%
72%
MagicLakers

Matchup at a glance

ORLLAL
Record0-22-0
Last 5LLLLLLLLWW
Points per game109126
Allowed per game123.5111
Days of rest––
Rating15171578

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