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Charlotte Hornets at Golden State Warriors: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → Golden State Warriors →

Charlotte Hornets at Golden State Warriors on Wednesday, January 13 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Hornets at only 53%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 53%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 114, Golden State Warriors 113. The rating gap is 121 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 47 times in 100 games like this, the Warriors would win.

Recent form

The Hornets are 1-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2. The Warriors are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026, and Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Christian Anderson (CHA) and Charles Bassey (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 4-0, with the Warriors outscoring the Hornets by an average of 20.3 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 116, GSW 136.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -11.2 avg margin
Warriors1-4, -8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Hornets arrive in better form (W-W-L-W-L against L-W-L-L-L).
  • Health: 8 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Warriors.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 17: CHA 116, GSW 136
  • Dec 31: GSW 132, CHA 125
  • Mar 3: GSW 119, CHA 101
  • Feb 25: CHA 92, GSW 128

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 26
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 26
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30
  • Christian Anderson Probable · back Oct 24
Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Charles Bassey Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Brandin Podziemski Out · back Oct 26

Win Meter

53%
47%
HornetsWarriors

Projected score: Hornets 114, Warriors 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

53%
47%
HornetsWarriors

Matchup at a glance

CHAGSW
Record1-10-2
Last 5WWLWLLWLLL
Points per game95.5106.5
Allowed per game115.5119
Days of rest––
Rating15531432

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