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Phoenix Suns at Toronto Raptors: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → Toronto Raptors →

Recent form is the story in Phoenix Suns at Toronto Raptors on Wednesday, January 13. The Raptors have won 3 of their last 5, while the Suns have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Raptors 71%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 110, Toronto Raptors 116. The rating gap is 51 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

The recent-form gap

The Suns are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -22. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Malachi Smith (TOR).

Day to day or questionable: Luke Kennard (PHX) and Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Suns outscoring the Raptors by an average of 9.2 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 98, PHX 120.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns0-5, -22 avg margin
Raptors3-2, +7.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Raptors arrive in better form (L-W-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Raptors.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 22: TOR 98, PHX 120
  • Mar 13: PHX 115, TOR 122
  • Mar 17: TOR 89, PHX 129
  • Feb 23: PHX 109, TOR 127

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Luke Kennard Questionable · back Oct 24
  • Oso Ighodaro Doubtful · back Oct 24
Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
  • Malachi Smith Out

Win Meter

29%
71%
SunsRaptors

Projected score: Suns 110, Raptors 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

29%
71%
SunsRaptors

Matchup at a glance

PHXTOR
Record0-12-0
Last 5LLLLLLWLWW
Points per game83123.5
Allowed per game12497
Days of rest––
Rating15061557

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