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Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks: preview and Win Meter

Cleveland Cavaliers → Atlanta Hawks →

The Win Meter favors the Hawks at home against the Cavaliers on Wednesday, January 13, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Cavaliers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hawks 66%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 111, Atlanta Hawks 115. The rating gap is 19 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Cavaliers would win.

Recent form

The Cavaliers are 0-1 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17. The Hawks are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.

The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE), Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: RayJ Dennis (ATL), Keshon Gilbert (ATL), and Jalen Wilson (ATL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 4-3, with the Hawks outscoring the Cavaliers by an average of 2.9 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 102, ATL 124.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Cavaliers0-5, -17 avg margin
Hawks2-3, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Hawks arrive in better form (L-L-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hawks.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 10: CLE 102, ATL 124
  • Apr 8: ATL 116, CLE 122
  • Nov 28: CLE 123, ATL 130
  • Nov 2: ATL 109, CLE 117
  • Jan 30: ATL 115, CLE 137

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out
Atlanta Hawks
  • Henri Veesaar Out · back Jul 1
  • Mouhamed Gueye Out · back Nov 20
  • RayJ Dennis Questionable
  • Keshon Gilbert Questionable
  • Jalen Wilson Questionable

Win Meter

34%
66%
CavaliersHawks

Projected score: Cavaliers 111, Hawks 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

34%
66%
CavaliersHawks

Matchup at a glance

CLEATL
Record0-12-0
Last 5LLLLLLLLWW
Points per game106130
Allowed per game114103
Days of rest––
Rating15731592

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