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Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors: preview and Win Meter

Sacramento Kings → Golden State Warriors →

Our ratings lean toward the Warriors at home against the Kings on Tuesday, January 12, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Warriors 73%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 110, Golden State Warriors 116. The rating gap is 77 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Kings are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8. The Warriors are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.

The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.

The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Charles Bassey (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Warriors outscoring the Kings by an average of 5.3 points per game. The last meeting was GSW 118, SAC 124.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Kings1-4, -8.8 avg margin
Warriors1-4, -8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 7 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Warriors.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 10: GSW 118, SAC 124
  • Apr 7: SAC 105, GSW 110
  • Jan 9: SAC 103, GSW 137
  • Nov 5: GSW 116, SAC 121
  • Mar 13: SAC 104, GSW 130

Injury report

Sacramento Kings
  • Dylan Cardwell Out · back Nov 2
  • Maxime Raynaud Out · back Nov 2
  • Ben Simmons Out · back Oct 1
Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Charles Bassey Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Brandin Podziemski Out · back Oct 26

Win Meter

27%
73%
KingsWarriors

Projected score: Kings 110, Warriors 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

27%
73%
KingsWarriors

Matchup at a glance

SACGSW
Record0-20-2
Last 5LWLLLLWLLL
Points per game108106.5
Allowed per game124.5119
Days of rest––
Rating13551432

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