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Chicago Bulls at Utah Jazz: preview and Win Meter

Chicago Bulls → Utah Jazz →

Chicago Bulls at Utah Jazz on Tuesday, January 12 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Jazz at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Jazz 56%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 112, Utah Jazz 114. The rating gap is 57 points in favor of the Bulls, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.

Recent form

The Bulls are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Jazz are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.

The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026 and Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Noa Essengue (CHI) and Trey Alexander (UTA). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Bulls outscoring the Jazz by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 126, CHI 128.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Bulls2-3, -14 avg margin
Jazz2-3, -3.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Jazz.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 14: UTA 126, CHI 128
  • Nov 16: CHI 147, UTA 150
  • Mar 17: CHI 111, UTA 97
  • Nov 4: UTA 135, CHI 126

Injury report

Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
  • Noa Essengue Probable · back Oct 24
Utah Jazz
  • Jusuf Nurkic Out · back Nov 4
  • Trey Alexander Day to day · back Oct 25

Win Meter

44%
56%
BullsJazz

Projected score: Bulls 112, Jazz 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

44%
56%
BullsJazz

Matchup at a glance

CHIUTA
Record1-11-1
Last 5WLLLWLWLLW
Points per game112111.5
Allowed per game130121
Days of rest––
Rating13821325

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