Our ratings lean toward the Nuggets on the road against the Bucks on Tuesday, January 12, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 68%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 115, Milwaukee Bucks 111. The rating gap is 230 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bucks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9. The Bucks are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.6.
The Nuggets were beaten 113-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.
The Bucks were beaten 137-111 on the road by DET not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, and Cameron Johnson (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 3-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Bucks by an average of 1.7 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 102, MIL 100.