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Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers: preview and Win Meter

Washington Wizards → Philadelphia 76ers →

Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday, January 12 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the 76ers about a 90% chance, and the Wizards would need an unusual night to change that.

Why the gap is wide

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 90%, with a projected score of Washington Wizards 106, Philadelphia 76ers 120. The rating gap is 274 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 10 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Wizards are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9. The 76ers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -7.2.

The Wizards were beaten 140-117 at home by MIA not long ago.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027, AJ Dybantsa (WAS), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Dean Wade (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the 76ers lead 6-1, with the 76ers outscoring the Wizards by an average of 12.4 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 153, WAS 131.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Wizards1-4, -9 avg margin
76ers2-3, -7.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 7 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the 76ers.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 1: PHI 153, WAS 131
  • Jan 7: WAS 110, PHI 131
  • Dec 2: WAS 102, PHI 121
  • Oct 28: PHI 139, WAS 134
  • Apr 9: PHI 122, WAS 103

Injury report

Washington Wizards
  • Tristan Vukcevic Out · back Nov 2
  • Jamir Watkins Out · back Apr 2
  • AJ Dybantsa Out · back Oct 26
Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 25
  • Dean Wade Questionable · back Oct 24
  • LeBron James Out · back Oct 25

Win Meter

10%
90%
Wizards76ers

Projected score: Wizards 106, 76ers 120

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

10%
90%
Wizards76ers

Matchup at a glance

WASPHI
Record1-12-0
Last 5LLLWLLLLWW
Points per game115110
Allowed per game114103
Days of rest––
Rating12831557

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