Detroit Pistons at Toronto Raptors on Tuesday, January 12 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Raptors at only 53%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 53%, with a projected score of Detroit Pistons 113, Toronto Raptors 114. The rating gap is 79 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 47 times in 100 games like this, the Pistons would win.
Recent form
The Pistons are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Raptors are 2-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6.
The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.
The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET) and Jalen Duren (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 6-1, with the Pistons outscoring the Raptors by an average of 6.4 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 116, DET 127.