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Los Angeles Lakers at LA Clippers: preview and Win Meter

Los Angeles Lakers → LA Clippers →

Los Angeles Lakers at LA Clippers on Monday, January 11 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Clippers at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.

Why it is so close

The Win Meter reads the Clippers 56%, with a projected score of Los Angeles Lakers 112, LA Clippers 114. The rating gap is 57 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Lakers would win.

Recent form

The Lakers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.2. The Clippers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.4.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.

The Clippers were beaten 116-97 on the road by POR not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Jordan Miller (LAC), expected back Mar 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Cameron Carr (LAL), Adou Thiero (LAL), and Jake LaRavia (LAL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Lakers lead 6-3, with the Lakers outscoring the Clippers by an average of 2.9 points per game. The last meeting was LAC 117, LAL 125.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Lakers2-3, -3.2 avg margin
Clippers2-3, -0.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Clippers.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 23: LAC 117, LAL 125
  • Feb 20: LAC 122, LAL 125
  • Jan 22: LAL 104, LAC 112
  • Dec 20: LAL 88, LAC 103
  • Nov 25: LAC 118, LAL 135

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Adou Thiero Day to day · back Oct 25
  • Jake LaRavia Day to day · back Oct 25
LA Clippers
  • Bradley Beal Out · back Nov 8
  • Max Strus Out · back Nov 8
  • Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out · back Nov 8
  • Brandon Ingram Out · back Nov 8
  • Jordan Miller Out · back Mar 2

Win Meter

44%
56%
LakersClippers

Projected score: Lakers 112, Clippers 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

44%
56%
LakersClippers

Matchup at a glance

LALLAC
Record2-01-1
Last 5LLLWWLWLWL
Points per game126119
Allowed per game111110.5
Days of rest––
Rating15781521

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