Denver Nuggets at New York Knicks on Monday, January 11 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Knicks about a 78% chance, and the Nuggets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Knicks 78%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 109, New York Knicks 117. The rating gap is 121 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 5 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 0-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9. The Knicks are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8.
The Nuggets were beaten 113-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, and Cameron Johnson (DEN), expected back Oct 26, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Alpha Diallo (DEN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 4-0, with the Knicks outscoring the Nuggets by an average of 20.8 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 142, DEN 103.