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Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics: preview and Win Meter

Houston Rockets → Boston Celtics →

Recent form is the story in Houston Rockets at Boston Celtics on Monday, January 11. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, while the Celtics have won 1.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Celtics 67%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 111, Boston Celtics 115. The rating gap is 25 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 33 times in 100 games like this, the Rockets would win.

The recent-form gap

The Rockets are 2-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.4. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Rockets' best recent win was 115-96 at home against LAL.

The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Fred VanVleet (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Reed Sheppard (HOU). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Celtics outscoring the Rockets by an average of 3.8 points per game. The last meeting was BOS 114, HOU 93.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Rockets4-1, +5.4 avg margin
Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Rockets arrive in better form (W-W-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 3 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Celtics.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 4: BOS 114, HOU 93
  • Nov 1: HOU 128, BOS 101
  • Jan 27: HOU 114, BOS 112
  • Jan 3: BOS 109, HOU 86

Injury report

Houston Rockets
  • Reed Sheppard Questionable · back Oct 24
  • Fred VanVleet Out · back Oct 26
  • Steven Adams Out · back Oct 26
Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8

Win Meter

33%
67%
RocketsCeltics

Projected score: Rockets 111, Celtics 115

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

33%
67%
RocketsCeltics

Matchup at a glance

HOUBOS
Record2-01-1
Last 5WWLWWLLLLW
Points per game121110
Allowed per game110112
Days of rest––
Rating15841609

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