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New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat: preview and Win Meter

New Orleans Pelicans → Miami Heat →

The Win Meter favors the Heat at home against the Pelicans on Sunday, January 10, at about 73%. That is a real edge, but the Pelicans are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Heat 73%, with a projected score of New Orleans Pelicans 110, Miami Heat 116. The rating gap is 75 points in favor of the Heat, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Heat on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Pelicans are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4. The Heat are 0-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.2.

The Pelicans' best recent win was 156-137 at home against UTA.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

The Heat's best recent win was 143-117 at home against ATL.

The Heat were beaten 131-106 at home by MIN not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Day to day or questionable: Yves Missi (NOP). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Heat lead 4-0, with the Heat outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 22.8 points per game. The last meeting was MIA 123, NOP 111.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Pelicans1-4, -3.4 avg margin
Heat2-3, +1.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Heat.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 11: MIA 123, NOP 111
  • Jan 4: NOP 106, MIA 125
  • Apr 11: MIA 153, NOP 104
  • Jan 1: NOP 108, MIA 119

Injury report

New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Day to day · back Oct 24
Miami Heat

No reported injuries.

Win Meter

27%
73%
PelicansHeat

Projected score: Pelicans 110, Heat 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

27%
73%
PelicansHeat

Matchup at a glance

NOPMIA
Record0-20-2
Last 5WLLLLWWLLL
Points per game119.5108.5
Allowed per game121.5129.5
Days of rest––
Rating14101485

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