San Antonio Spurs at Atlanta Hawks on Sunday, January 10 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Hawks at only 52%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 52%, with a projected score of San Antonio Spurs 113, Atlanta Hawks 113. The rating gap is 82 points in favor of the Spurs, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Hawks on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 48 times in 100 games like this, the Spurs would win.
Recent form
The Spurs are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.4. The Hawks are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026, Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, and Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Tobias Harris (SAS). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Spurs lead 4-0, with the Spurs outscoring the Hawks by an average of 11.2 points per game. The last meeting was SAS 126, ATL 98.