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Chicago Bulls at Golden State Warriors: preview and Win Meter

Chicago Bulls → Golden State Warriors →

The Win Meter favors the Warriors at home against the Bulls on Saturday, January 9, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Bulls are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Warriors 70%, with a projected score of Chicago Bulls 110, Golden State Warriors 116. The rating gap is 50 points in favor of the Warriors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Bulls are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Warriors are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, and Brandin Podziemski (GSW), expected back Oct 26, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Charles Bassey (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 3-1, with the Warriors outscoring the Bulls by an average of 18 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 130, GSW 124.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Bulls2-3, -14 avg margin
Warriors1-4, -8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Warriors.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 10: CHI 130, GSW 124
  • Dec 7: GSW 123, CHI 91
  • Feb 8: GSW 132, CHI 111
  • Jan 23: CHI 106, GSW 131

Injury report

Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis Out · back Dec 1
  • Jimmy Butler Out · back Jan 2
  • Moses Moody Out · back Dec 1
  • Charles Bassey Day to day · back Oct 24
  • Brandin Podziemski Out · back Oct 26

Win Meter

30%
70%
BullsWarriors

Projected score: Bulls 110, Warriors 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

30%
70%
BullsWarriors

Matchup at a glance

CHIGSW
Record1-10-2
Last 5WLLLWLWLLL
Points per game112106.5
Allowed per game130119
Days of rest––
Rating13821432

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