Our ratings lean toward the Pacers at home against the Bucks on Saturday, January 9, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Bucks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Pacers 65%, with a projected score of Milwaukee Bucks 111, Indiana Pacers 115. The rating gap is 7 points in favor of the Pacers, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Bucks would win.
Recent form
The Bucks are 0-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -9.6. The Pacers are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.4.
The Bucks' best recent win was 125-108 at home against BKN.
The Bucks were beaten 137-111 on the road by DET not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 123-94 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027 and Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: T.J. McConnell (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Bucks lead 8-5, with the Bucks outscoring the Pacers by an average of 1.8 points per game. The last meeting was IND 123, MIL 134.